Updated: Dec 3, 2022
Bakin' 5 is my take on Colin Cowherd's Blazin' 5. Every Friday, Cowherd announces his Blazin' 5 picks on his FS1 show, The Herd. The sports media personality selects his 5 favorite NFL bets of the week. On Bakin' 5, I'll post our selections.
Let's bake it up.
Colin Cowherd likes the Football Team +7, Patriots -2.5, Bengals +3 , Dolphins +3.5, and the Eagles +3.5. I like the Panthers -8, Football Team +7.5, Seahawks -1.5, Chargers +7, and Packers +3.5.
On Carolina (-8) vs Houston:
Back to the well with Carolina this week. My preseason NFC sleeper team rolls here. Davis Mills isn't ready to make his first NFL start on a short week vs a Panthers team that limited the Saints to just 6 first downs last Sunday. Lay the 8 points, and consider teasing the Panthers down to -2.
UPDATE: Carolina won 24-9 and covered the 8 point spread.
On Washington (+7.5) vs Buffalo:
I like the Football Team at anything over a touchdown. Expect Washington's defense to look more like Pittsburgh's than Miami's in their showdown with Buffalo. Washington's defense hasn't lived up to its billing so far this season, but I think the extra days of preparation will serve them well. Heinicke, Gibson, and McLaurin do just enough on offense to keep it close. Take the Football Team to cover the spread.
On Seattle (-1.5) vs Minnesota:
I'll take Russ and the Hawks here. The Minnesota defense allowed a whopping 474 yards of offense to Arizona last week, so expect Wilson and Co. to have a field day against this porous defense. Seattle will come motivated to play after losing their home opener to Tennessee. The Hawks win in a shootout.
On Los Angeles (+7) vs Kansas City:
Kansas City has been terrible covering spreads as of late. Expect Kansas City's woes to continue against an upstart Chargers team that has played the Chiefs well in recent years. Kansas City will put up points, but Herbert, Ekeler, Allen, and Williams should find success as well. Kansas City wins, but fails to cover the touchdown spread.
On Green Bay (+3.5) vs San Francisco:
I'll take Green Bay catching the field goal and the hook. The San Francisco offense averaged a measly 4.5 yards per play against Philadelphia. That's terrible. I think Green Bay's Week 1 performance was an outlier. Expect Rodgers and Co. to do just enough on offense to stay within a field goal.
Road teams have been dominant against-the-spread since the start of last season. Home field advantage is not as significant as it once was. I like the road teams at these numbers.
Cowherd's Blazin' 5: 4-6 (40 %)
Bookiemonster's Bakin' 5: 4-2 (67%)
*For the sake of fairness, I'll grade the WFT pick as 7.5 for both of us.
Check my Twitter account for official recommendations. Bet earlier in the week to lock in more favorable numbers.
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You can watch the video of Cowherd's Blazin' 5 here.
Consider watching Cowherd's weekly podcast with Chad Millman of the Action Network. They discuss NFL Week 3 betting angles and sharp/square plays of the week. Worth a listen.