The odds for major football awards can be extremely volatile. After all, the sports media largely determines the winners of these awards, and they can fall prisoner to the moment. In college football, everyone is looking for the “Heisman moment.” If you really like a player to win an MVP or Heisman, bet on him before a high-profile matchup, particularly late in the season. If he performs well, the public will take notice, and the pundits will be raving about it all next week. For college football, target big rivalries, top 10 matchups, and College Football Gameday games. For NFL, target the FOX Game of the Week, Sunday Night Football, and Monday Night Football. Think Joe Burrow before the 2019 LSU-Alabama game or Aaron Rodgers before the Week 16 Titans-Packers game on Monday Night Football. Their performances had a monumental impact on the odds. Take advantage of this volatility.
This week, I'm targeting Bryce Young at +350 to win the Heisman Trophy. The top-ranked Crimson Tide travels to Gainesville to play the #11 Florida Gators.14 points is probably the lowest spread the Crimson Tide will see during the regular season. I think Bryce Young will put up big stats in The Swamp, and his odds to win the Heisman Trophy will shorten if he turns in a huge performance with the nation watching.
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