If Backdoor Covers Concern You, Bet First Half Spreads

This week, there's a whopping three favorites of 13+ points in the afternoon slate on Sunday. The Los Angeles Rams are favored by 15.5 points against the Detroit Lions, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored by 13 points against the Chicago Bears, and the Arizona Cardinals are favored by 17.5 points against the Houston Texans. These games are ripe for backdoor covers. If you like any of these massive favorites to cover the spread, you should consider betting the first half spread, instead of the full game spread. With a big lead, coaches tend to pull starters in the fourth quarter if the outcome of the game is already decided. This gives an advantage to the teams that are trailing. Additionally, losing teams actively try to score, whereas winning teams are usually trying to run the clock out. Betting the first half spread provides more assurance that starters will be playing throughout the duration of your bet and that both teams are actively trying to score.

 

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