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2023 NFL Draft Bet Thread (Updated Weekly)

Updated: May 8, 2023

The NFL Draft can be extremely profitable for sports bettors. If you follow the pre-draft process closely, you can place a number of low-risk, high-reward wagers. Here is my list of 2023 NFL Draft bets so far.

  1. WAS Commanders to draft Bijan Robinson +3500 (DraftKings) L

  2. Jalen Carter to be the first DEF selected +400 (DraftKings) L

  3. Christian Gonzalez to be selected before Devon Witherspoon -115 (DraftKings) L

  4. Jaxon Smith-Njiba to be the first WR selected +300 (DraftKings) W

  5. Jaxon Smith-Njiba to be selected before Jordan Addison -120 (DraftKings) W

  6. Broderick Jones to be the first OL selected +600 (DraftKings) L

  7. SEA Seahawks to draft Anthony Richardson +550 (DraftKings) L

  8. HOU Texans to draft Jaxon Smith-Njiba +750 (DraftKings) L

  9. NE Patriots to draft Jaxon Smith-Njiba +1200 (DraftKings) L

  10. C.J. Stroud to be selected #1 overall +400 (Bovada) L

  11. IND Colts to select #1 overall +275 (BetOnline) L

  12. C.J. Stroud to be selected #1 overall +225 (Bovada) L

  13. C.J. Stroud to be selected #1 overall -140 (DraftKings) L

  14. Paris Johnson Jr. to be selected before Peter Skoronski -110 (DraftKings) W

  15. Jalin Hyatt to be selected before Zay Flowers +190 (DraftKings) L

  16. Jaxon Smith-Njiba to be the first WR selected +100 (BetOnline) W

  17. Dalton Kincaid to be the first TE selected +175 (DraftKings) W

  18. PHI Eagles to select an OL with first pick +750 (DraftKings) L

  19. BUF Bills to select an OL with first pick +380 (DraftKings) L

  20. BUF Bills to select a TE with first pick +3500 (DraftKings) W

  21. Anthony Richardson to be selected #5 overall +1400 (DraftKings) L

  22. Will Anderson Jr. to be selected #3 overall -110 (Bet MGM) W

  23. SEA Seahawks to draft Jalen Carter +400 (DraftKings) L

  24. DET Lions to draft Jalen Carter +425 (DraftKings) L

  25. Will Anderson to be selected #3 overall +140 (FanDuel) W

  26. Jalen Carter u7.5 draft position -125 (DraftKings) L

  27. Zay Flowers o24.5 draft position +160 (DraftKings) L

  28. Drew Sanders to be selected before Jack Campbell -110 (DraftKings) L

  29. u4.5 QBs taken in Round 1 -140 (DraftKings) W

  30. SF 49ers to draft Jake Moody +7500 (DraftKings) W

  31. TEN Titans to select an OL with first pick -120 (DraftKings) W

  32. BAL Ravens to select a CB with first pick +350 (FanDuel) L

  33. Christian Gonzalez to be selected before Witherspoon -115 (DraftKings) L

  34. C.J. Stroud to be selected #1 overall -130 (DraftKings) L

  35. Will Levis o7.5 draft position +115 (DraftKings) W

  36. NY Giants to select a CB with first pick +400 (DraftKings) W

  37. LV Raiders to select a CB with first pick +225 (DraftKings) L

  38. Jaxon Smith-Njiba to be the first WR selected -200 (DraftKings) W

  39. DET Lions to draft Jalen Carter +400 (DraftKings) L

  40. ATL Falcons to select a DL/Edge with first pick -105 (DK) L

  41. CIN Bengals to select a S with first pick +5000 (DK) L

  42. Tyree Wilson to be selected #3 overall +2000 (DK) L

  43. Richardson to be selected #6 overall +2800 (DK) L

  44. Richardson o4.5 draft position +125 (DK) L

  45. NO Saints to draft a DL/Edge with first pick -120 (Caesars) W

  46. NO Saints to draft DL/Edge with first pick +175 (FanDuel) W

  47. ATL Falcons to draft Jahmyr Gibbs +2500 (DK) L

  48. JAX Jaguars to draft Quentin Johnston +8000 (DK) L

  49. NY Giants to draft OL with first pick +420 (Caesars) L

  50. Bijan Robinson o15.5 draft position +130 (Caesars) L

  51. Bijan Robinson o15.5 draft position +160 (Caesars) L

  52. Young to be selected #2 overall +390 (DK) L

  53. Skoronski to be selected before Johnson +130 (DK) L

  54. DET Lions to draft DL/Edge with first pick +220 (Caesars) L

  55. Skoronski u10.5 draft position +100 (Caesars) L

  56. Bijan Robinson o15.5 draft position +200 (Caesars) L

  57. Skoronoski to be selected #6 overall +5000 (Caesars) L

  58. Stroud to be selected #2 overall +450 (Caesars) W

  59. Jones u13.5 draft position -115 (DK) L

  60. ATL Falcons to draft DL/Edge with first pick -135 (DK) L

  61. DET Lions to draft DL/Edge with first pick +325 (Caesars) L

  62. DET Lions to draft CB with first pick +100 (DK) L

  63. Nolan Smith to be selected #8 overall +350 (DK) L

  64. Levis o6.5 draft position +235 (Caesars) W

  65. AZ Cardinals to draft OL with first pick +600 (DK) W

  66. LA Chargers to draft Mayer +650 (DK) L

  67. LV Raiders to draft Hooker +1400 (DK) L

  68. Stroud 2nd QB selected -135 (DK) W

  69. Simpson first LB selected +500 (DK) L

  70. Skoronski first OL +175 (BOL) L

  71. Porter Jr. u19.5 -120 (BOL) L

  72. Witherspoon o6.5 +120 (DK) L

  73. Dawand Jones first round +350 (DK) L

  74. Adebawore first round +155 (DK) L

  75. 2 DJ Turner first round +500 (DK) L

  76. NY Jets to draft Smith-Njiba +2500 (FD) L

  77. Wilson o4.5 +130 (CZ) W

  78. Hooker u31.5 +100 (CZ) L

  79. Flowers WR2 +135 (DK) L

  80. Skoronski 8th pick +2800 (DK) L

  81. CIN Bengals to draft DL/Edge with first pick +800 (CZ) W

  82. Paris Johnson 9th pick +350 (DK) L

  83. 2 Witherspoon 7th pick +375 (CZ) L

  84. 2 Skoronski 7th pick +650 (CZ) L

  85. Young 1st pick -700 (DK) W

  86. Young QB1, Smith-Njiba WR1, Witherspoon CB1 -120 (DK) W

  87. Richardson top 10 and Hooker first round +100 (DK) L

  88. Wright u15.5 -125 (DK) W

  89. Young QB1, Smith-Njiba WR1 -250 (DK) W

  90. PIT Steelers to draft WR with first pick +4500 (DK) L

  91. Witherspoon 7th pick +450 (FD) L

  92. Skoronski 7th pick +800 (FD) L

  93. Nolan Smith 8th pick +550 (FD) L

  94. AZ Cardinals to draft DL/Edge with first pick +125 (DK) L

  95. DAL Cowboys to draft RB with first pick +1400 (FD) L

  96. LA Chargers to draft CB with first pick +1200 (Bovada) L

  97. Richardson o7.5 -115 (DK) L

  98. Wright u17.5 -150 (CZ) W

  99. BAL Ravens to draft CB with first pick +115 (CZ) L

  100. Richardson o7.5 +100 (DK) L

  101. Paris Johnson u9.5 -380 (Bovada) W

  102. WAS Commanders to draft CB with first pick +170 (FD) W

  103. Smith o11.5 +118 (FD) W

  104. Over 2 TEs in Round 1 -350 (DK) L

  105. Kancey, Gibbs, Musgrave in Round 1 +682 (FD) L

  106. Anderson and Carter in top 5 -114 (FD) L

  107. Jones u14.5 +182 (FD) W

  108. Smith o11.5 +130 (CZ) W

  109. BUF Bills to draft CB with first pick +2500 (DK) L

  110. 2 Bijan o8.5 -240 (CZ) L

  111. Kancey and Bergeron in Round 1 +205 (FD) L

  112. Skoronski before Bijan -150 (DK) L

  113. Paris Johnson u9.5 -330 (CZ) W

  114. Stroud #2 +210 (FD) W

  115. ATL Falcons to draft DL/Edge -115 (DK) L

  116. Gonzalez o8.5 +100 W

  117. 12th pick DL +900 (FD) L

For the official units tabulation, plus money bets are 1 unit bets, and minus money bets are to win 1 unit. (Example: -120 is risk 1.2 units to win 1 unit, and +120 is risk 1 unit to win 1.2 units.)


Final Tally: +75.96 units


Where I Whiffed: Stroud #1, Gonzalez CB1, Bijan, exact pick bets.

Where I Dominated: Smith-Njiba WR1, Team to Draft Position with first pick, Moody to Niners.


My favorite value plays outside of DK, FD, CZ, and BOL.

TEN Titans to draft Levis +1800 W

MIN Vikings to draft Levis +3150 L

MIN Vikings to draft Johnston +2970 L

HOU Texans to draft Gibbs +5600 L

TEN Titans to draft Richardson +3500 L


These bets will not be counted towards the official units tabulation because I did not include them in the official Twitter betting thread. I could not find these odds on DK, FD, CZ, and BOL, so I did not post them. (The idea is for followers to be able to find every bet I post on widely-used sportsbooks). I included them here to show the immense value you can get in the NFL Draft props market, though. If you follow the draft process closely, you can place a slew of low risk, high reward bets.


Be sure to check out last year's tips on how to get an edge in the NFL Draft Props market. As of March 28, the majority of these wagers have increased in value. You can find the link to my ongoing Twitter thread for 2023 NFL Draft bets here.

 

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