Updated: Aug 17, 2021
Update: Upon hearing about Wentz’s injury, I no longer advise betting on Wentz to be Comeback Player of the Year.
My three favorite CPOY bets are Prescott, Wentz, and Winston. This is a narrative-driven award, and no one has a stronger comeback story than Prescott. We all saw him snap his ankle on national television. He's a well-liked guy around the league, and he's the face of the most valuable franchise in pro sports. The Cowboys are a +125 favorite to win the NFC East, so they play in a very winnable division. Dallas's win total sits at 9.5, so they're expected to be a playoff contender. A loaded offense, combined with a porous defense, should lead to a lot of shootouts for Dallas. He's the rightful favorite. I love Wentz's odds as well. Wentz goes back to playing under Frank Reich, who helped him play at a MVP-level in 2017. The Colts have an elite offensive line and several offensive weapons. I believe Indianapolis will win the AFC South (+105) and ultimately become a Super Bowl dark horse. If Reich can revive Wentz's career, the former Eagles signal-caller will be a top contender for CPOY. As far as long shots go, I like Winston. Everyone is sleeping on the Saints. Winston is a former #1 pick, who led the league in passing yards in his last full season as a starter. He's always thrown for a ton of yards and touchdowns, so if he can cut down on the turnovers, he'll be a viable sleeper for this award. With a solid roster and future Hall of Fame coach, the Saints are more than capable of making the postseason. I believe Winston will be the starting quarterback for New Orleans, so once the Saints officially name Winston the starter, I see these odds shortening. I think the value is too good to pass up.
Best Bets: Dak Prescott (+250), Carson Wentz (+900), Jameis Winston (+2000)
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